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Time-Series Analysis

Time-Series Analysis

Time-Series Analysis

A Comprehensive Introduction for Social Scientists
John M. Gottman
March 2009
Paperback
9780521103367
£47.99
GBP
Paperback

    Since the 1970s social scientists and scientists in a variety of fields - psychology, sociology, education, psychiatry, economics and engineering - have been interested in problems that require the statistical analysis of data over time and there has been in effect a conceptual revolution in ways of thinking about pattern and regularity. This book is a comprehensive introduction to all the major time-series techniques, both time-domain and frequency-domain. It includes work on linear models that simplify the solution of univariate and multivariate problems. The author begins with a non-mathematical overview: throughout, he provides easy-to-understand, fully worked examples drawn from real studies in psychology and sociology. Other, less comprehensive, books on time-series analysis require calculus: this presupposes only a standard introductory statistics course covering analysis of variance and regression. The chapters are short, designed to build concepts (and the reader's confidence) one step at a time. Many illustrations aid visual, intuitive understanding. Without compromising mathematical rigour, the author keeps in mind the reader who does no have an easy time with mathematics: the result is a readily accessible and practical text.

    Product details

    March 2009
    Paperback
    9780521103367
    420 pages
    229 × 152 × 24 mm
    0.61kg
    Available

    Table of Contents

    • Preface
    • Part I. Overview:
    • 1. The search for hidden structures
    • 2. The ubiquitous cycles
    • 3. How Slutzky created order from chaos
    • 4 Forecasting: Yule's autoregressive models
    • 5. Into the black box with white light
    • 6. Experimentation and change
    • Part II. Time-series models:
    • 7. Models and the problem of correlated data
    • 8. An introduction to time-series models: stationarity
    • 9. What if the data are not stationary?
    • Part III. Deterministic and nondeterministic components:
    • 10. Moving-average models
    • 11. Autoregressive models
    • 12. The complex behaviour of the second-order autoregressive process
    • 13. The partial autocorrelation function: completing the duality
    • 14. The duality of MA and AR processes
    • Part IV. Stationary frequency-domain models:
    • 15. The spectral density function
    • 16. The periodogram
    • 17. Spectral windows and window carpentry
    • 18. Explanation of the Slutzky effect
    • Part V. Estimation in the time domain:
    • 19. AR model fitting and estimation
    • 20. Box-Jenkins model fitting: the ARIMA models
    • 21. Forecasting
    • 22. Model fitting: worked example
    • Part VI. Bivariate time-series analysis:
    • 23. Bivariate frequency-domain analysis
    • 24. Bivariate frequency example: mother-infant play
    • 25. Bivariate time-domain analysis
    • Part VII. Other Techniques:
    • 26. The interrupted time-series experiment
    • 27. Multivariate approaches
    • Notes
    • References
    • Index.
      Author
    • John M. Gottman