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Behavioral Social Choice

Behavioral Social Choice

Behavioral Social Choice

Probabilistic Models, Statistical Inference, and Applications
Michel Regenwetter, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Bernard Grofman, University of California, Irvine
A. A. J. Marley, University of Victoria, British Columbia
Ilia Tsetlin, Duke University, North Carolina
May 2006
Paperback
9780521536660
AUD$67.23
exc GST
Paperback
exc GST
Hardback

    Behavioral Social Choice looks at the probabilistic foundations of collective decision-making rules. The authors challenge much of the existing theoretical wisdom about social choice processes, and seek to restore faith in the possibility of democratic decision-making. In particular, they argue that worries about the supposed prevalence of majority rule cycles that would preclude groups from reaching a final decision about what alternative they prefer have been greatly overstated. In practice, majority rule can be expected to work well in most real-world settings. Furthermore, if there is a problem, they show that the problem is more likely to be one of sample estimates missing the majority winner in a close contest (e.g., Bush-Gore) than a problem about cycling. The authors also provide new mathematical tools to estimate the prevalence of cycles as a function of sample size and insights into how alternative model specifications can change our estimates of social orderings.

    • Challenges existing wisdom (stemming from Arrow's Impossibility Theorem) that democratic decision-making is inherently flawed
    • Close link between theory and empirical applications, including data on real-world elections in US and Europe
    • New mathematical tools to estimate majority rule relationship from sample data

    Product details

    May 2006
    Paperback
    9780521536660
    258 pages
    229 × 152 × 14 mm
    0.38kg
    8 tables
    Available

    Table of Contents

    • Part I. Probabilistic Models of Social Choice Behavior:
    • 1. The lack of theoretical and practical support for majority cycles
    • 2. A general concept of majority rule
    • Part II. Applications of Probabilistic Models to Empirical Data:
    • 3. On the model dependence versus robustness of social choice results
    • 4. Constructing majority preferences from subset choice data
    • Part III. A General Statistical Sampling and Bayesian Inference Framework:
    • 5. Majority rule in a statistical sampling and Bayesian inference framework
    • 6. Conclusions and directions for future behavioral social choice research.