Our systems are now restored following recent technical disruption, and we’re working hard to catch up on publishing. We apologise for the inconvenience caused. Find out more

Recommended product

Popular links

Popular links


Assumption-Based Planning

Assumption-Based Planning

Assumption-Based Planning

A Tool for Reducing Avoidable Surprises
James A. Dewar, RAND Corporation, California
October 2002
Hardback
9780521806534

    Unwelcome surprises in the life of any organization can often be traced to the failure of an assumption that the organization's leadership didn't anticipate or had 'forgotten' it was making. Assumption-based planning (ABP) is a tool for identifying as many as possible of the assumptions underlying the plans of an organization and bringing those assumptions explicitly into the planning process. This book presents a variety of techniques for rooting out those vulnerable, crucial assumptions. The book also presents steps for monitoring all the vulnerable assumptions of a plan, for taking actions to control those vulnerable assumptions where possible, and for preparing the organization for the potential failure of those assumptions where control is not possible. The book provides a variety of examples and practical advice for those interested in carrying out an application of ABP in the fields of business, management, strategic planning, engineering, and in military applications.

    • Book ideal for MBA/master's/doctorate courses in business planning, strategic management
    • Author internationally known in corporate, not-for-profit and US government circles
    • Full of examples for business, non-military, and military applications

    Reviews & endorsements

    '… an impressively flexible and pragmatic approach makes extensive use of scenarios. In my view this is one of the most useful methods for stress-testing a plan … the process spelt out in the book can be applied to all fields of planning and Dewar utilises his real world experience to suggest different methods for implementing the five steps of ABP. This pragmatic approach makes the book very useful for practitioners …'. The Business Economist

    See more reviews

    Product details

    October 2002
    Hardback
    9780521806534
    268 pages
    229 × 152 × 16 mm
    0.53kg
    19 b/w illus.
    Available

    Table of Contents

    • 1. The essence of assumption-based planning
    • 2. A taxonomy of assumptions
    • 3. Step 1: identifying assumptions
    • 4. Step 2: identifying load-bearing, vulnerable assumptions
    • 5. Step 3: identifying signposts
    • 6. Step 4: developing shaping actions
    • 7. Step 5: developing hedging actions
    • 8. The art of conducting ABP
    • 9. Beyond ABP as a post-planning tool.